Wednesday, March 16, 2016
The GOP 'establishment' are delusional
I keep reading about a brokered convention.
... about 'convention chaos'.
... about the "Stop Trump" movement gaining momentum.
All this punditry references the Republican Convention in Cleveland this summer.
The GOP wizards - those clearly in control, the Republican 'establishment' and the wise men - seem to take it for granted that Trump WON'T be the nominee.
I don't know what the rules are, but I assume that if a candidate shows up with the requisite majority of delegates - 1237 is the magic number - then that candidate WILL be the GOP's 2016 Presidential nominee.
I've seen nothing to suggest that Mr. Trump will not arrive at the Convention with at least that total.
Am I delusional, or are the GOP 'establishment' wizards those with the really good drugs?
(... and could they maybe give me the names of their dealers?)
Note: it's NEWS when someone other than Trump wins! - most recently Kasich in Ohio.
"Dog bites man" is not news; "Man bites dog" IS news.
When it's newsworthy that ANYONE other than Trump wins a primary, my inference is that Mr. Trump is the odds-on favorite to win the nomination.
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The only hope to stop Trump would be if Kasich refrained from entering any other primary, but he won't do that.
ReplyDeleteTrump's support has nearly always fallen in the 30% to 40% range. In a multi-candidate race that is enough to win. But Trump's support is not elastic. In a two candidate race he probably would still end up in the 40s. The Republicans needed to get him in a two candidate race a couple of weeks ago.
And Cruz is horrible, too.