I keep reading about a brokered convention.
... about 'convention chaos'.
... about the "Stop Trump" movement gaining momentum.
All this punditry references the Republican Convention in Cleveland this summer.
The GOP wizards - those clearly in control, the Republican 'establishment' and the wise men - seem to take it for granted that Trump WON'T be the nominee.
I don't know what the rules are, but I assume that if a candidate shows up with the requisite majority of delegates - 1237 is the magic number - then that candidate WILL be the GOP's 2016 Presidential nominee.
I've seen nothing to suggest that Mr. Trump will not arrive at the Convention with at least that total.
Am I delusional, or are the GOP 'establishment' wizards those with the really good drugs?
(... and could they maybe give me the names of their dealers?)
Note: it's NEWS when someone other than Trump wins! - most recently Kasich in Ohio.
"Dog bites man" is not news; "Man bites dog" IS news.
When it's newsworthy that ANYONE other than Trump wins a primary, my inference is that Mr. Trump is the odds-on favorite to win the nomination.
The only hope to stop Trump would be if Kasich refrained from entering any other primary, but he won't do that.
ReplyDeleteTrump's support has nearly always fallen in the 30% to 40% range. In a multi-candidate race that is enough to win. But Trump's support is not elastic. In a two candidate race he probably would still end up in the 40s. The Republicans needed to get him in a two candidate race a couple of weeks ago.
And Cruz is horrible, too.