Thursday, January 29, 2009

New estimate in... ("fun with numbers" was just in time!)

Cost of shoring up U.S. banks may be in trillions
By Emily Kaiser
Thu Jan 29, 2009
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The cost of restoring confidence in U.S. financial firms may reach $4 trillion if President Barack Obama moves ahead with a "bad bank" that buys up souring assets.
[emphasis added]

$4,000,000,000,000.
[Remember when I used to get upset about the $500Bn wasted in Iraq?]

$4,000,000,000,000 = 80,000,000 median-income households.
The Census Bureau reports about 116,000,000 households in 2007. 80K is about 70% of the total.
Perhaps it would be easier to simply identify those households in the 70th percentile & below and give 'em each $50,000 - to be used to make whole outstanding mortgage & credit card debt.
For those with no credit/mortgage problems to make whole - they just get to spend the money as they see fit!

Note 1: the 70th percentile of household incomes in 2007 was about $75,000. Sorry - under my plan, if your household income exceeded $75,000 you'd get no government largesse!

Note 2: Alternative plan - Let's argue (somewhat speciously) that the really po' folks don't have mortgage debt, and concentrate our efforts on the upper end of the income distribution.
95% of households made less than $177,000 in 2007.
That's 110,000,000 households.
We could give the richest 80,000 of those making less than $177K the $50K: if your household earns between $25K and $177K, you get $50,000 of government largesse - to help make whole any delinquent mortgage or credit card debt. Again, if you've no delinquent mortgage or credit card debt, you can do what you want with the $50K.

Note 3: 4,000,000,000,000 seconds = 126,839 years.
That's a very long time.
Modern humans (homo sapiens) have only been around for about 200,000 years.

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