Thursday, March 20, 2008

Viet Nam analogy, pursued

I've stated previously that I am not all that happy with the "Iraq as Viet Nam" analogy. I'm still not... but I'm going to adopt a couple of items from the late 60s for this post anyway.

item 1: the "domino theory"... and W's current version, which I'll characterize as a "domino theory on steroids"
(Ah! you see, I can adapt to modern times - by adopting a familiar sports-image recently in the news: bulking up on steroids!)
W's speech on 18 March, in which he painted his most nightmarish picture to date of the consequence of "failure" in Iraq, is a "domino theory on steroids".

Not only will al Qaeda win in Iraq, but it'll explode across the Mid-East & south-central Asia - taking down everything in its path, creating a new Caliphate intent on the West's destruction, fueled and funded by oil! If we leave Iraq, we guarantee this result!

The "on steroids" bit?
The original "domino theory" predicted only that losing Viet Nam to the evil Commies would lead to the Commies taking over Laos, Cambodia, and maybe Thailand. There was no "existential threat to Western Civilizatin" involved.

W's vivid rendering of the future if we leave Iraq is considerably more threatening: not only would al Qaeda take over Iraq, but also Syria, Jordan, Arabia, Iran (?), Afghanistan, all the other -stans, and probably India, and they would launch and win a war of the worlds against the West.
I don't think this mis-characterizes W's stated opinions.

item 2: "Out now!"
This is the simplest anti-war chant from the Viet Nam era.
Simple, short and to the point.
It is no less relevant today.
You need a simple slogan? Here 'tis: "Out now!"

I note in passing that the neocon/chickenhawk crowd now proclaim that 50 years from now we'll see the benefit of our continuing engagement in Iraq; but that only 35 years after we vacated Viet Nam, that country is now one of our beloved trading partners. [The Fortune 100 company which employs me is building a factory in Viet Nam!]

Stop the madness!

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